PLAYOFF PULSE / 2026 NFL SEASON
Your Week 4 playoff watch.
Chicago Bears · The race for a playoff berth
Current week · Current-data playoff estimates.
NFC / THE SEVEN-SPOT RACE
Playoff Race
Chicago BearsNFC · NFC NorthProvisional playoff field Seeds 1–7
- 1
Minnesota VikingsNFC North3–0— - 2
San Francisco 49ersNFC West3–0— - 3
Philadelphia EaglesNFC East2–1— - 4
Carolina PanthersNFC South1–2— - 5
Detroit LionsNFC North2–1— - 6Chicago BearsNFC North · Your team2–1—
- 7
Seattle SeahawksNFC West2–1—
Chasing Conference positions 8–16 · Outside the playoff field
- 8
New York GiantsNFC East2–1— - 9
Los Angeles RamsNFC West1–2— - 10
Dallas CowboysNFC East1–2— - 11
Atlanta FalconsNFC South1–2— - 12
Washington CommandersNFC East1–2— - 13
New Orleans SaintsNFC South1–2— - 14
Green Bay PackersNFC North1–2— - 15
Arizona CardinalsNFC West1–2— - 16
Tampa Bay BuccaneersNFC South0–3—
Recorded results only · Predictions excluded. Unpicked games omitted. Provisional field—not confirmed qualification.
NFC · NFC North
Chicago Bears
2–1 Actual record
Your team · Week 4
NOT FINAL
NYJJetsAwayCHIBearsHomeSun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM UTC
Scheduled matchup · Predictions are in the ranked guide below.MODEL ESTIMATE
Chance to make the playoffs
Actual-results baseline
Early-season outlook3 played · 14 remaining
Most of the season remains. These estimates can change substantially.
Dated fallback snapshot · 2026-09-30 · 3,000 simulations
Independent model estimates, not guarantees or official NFL odds. Unsampled outcomes are not elimination.
THE WEEK’S PIVOTAL MATCHUP · IMPACT #1
WEEK 4Biggest impact
To help Chicago Bears reach the playoffs
Finding the week’s most influential game…
Games that move your odds
To help Chicago Bears reach the playoffs
Updating the watch list…
Swing compares the two win outcomes, not a baseline gain. Small swings may be sampling noise. Comparisons include all your predictions; preferences cannot be added independently. Seeds are exact finishes, not clinching proof.
The Magic Number
What needs to happen to clinch your goal.
Actual completed results only · Predictions ignored
Checking sufficient clinching conditions…
The week, three ways
Up to 4 key gamesWeekly combinations, not guarantees. Two different probabilities, one clearer picture.
1,600 trials per combination · Occurrence probabilities assume independent games. Overlapping scenarios must not be added.