Your playoff picture NFC
Chicago Bears.
Estimated playoff chanceMODEL
—%
Actual results. No predictions needed.
Projected record
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Average regular-season finish
Win division
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14 games remaining
Your predictions
00/224
Every unplayed game simulated
Dated fallback snapshot. Records and calculations use September 30, 2026 data, not verified live standings.
Every seed. A different path.
NFC playoff field · Select your exact objective
Win your division or finish among the three highest-ranked non-division winners. Any of the seven playoff seeds counts.
Explore an example path
Finding example paths…
Final-record probabilities
Conditional estimates from the same simulations. Small sample counts are less reliable. Unsampled records are omitted.
Running season simulations…
Who to root for
Week 4 · Ranked by impact on making the playoffs. No picks required.
Comparing wins, losses, and ties…
The week, three ways
Up to 4 key gamesWeekly combinations, not guarantees. Two different probabilities, one clearer picture.
Comparing weekly result combinations…
1,600 trials per combination · Occurrence probabilities assume independent games. Overlapping scenarios must not be added.